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In light of Trump’s withdrawal from the JCPOA, NSWG Member Dov Zakheim details several potential outcomes, including a weakened hand in negotiations with North Korea, or a multilateral pivot away from the US (much like the evolution of the TPP).

Ever eager to fulfill a campaign promise to his base, Donald Trump has kept his word: he has announced that the United States would withdraw from the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, formally known by its cumbersome title, Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA. In so doing, he will reimpose the sanctions that were waived as a result of the deal, to include sanctions against third parties doing business with Iran.

The result is a triumph of sorts for Benjamin Netanyahu, who revealed a new cache of Iranian documents that belied Iran’s representations to the International Atomic Energy Agency and its six negotiating partners. Though Trump was Netanyahu’s primary audience, the Israeli prime minister also was targeting his country’s voting public at a time when his political fortunes seem to be increasingly mired in a bevy of scandals. A jump in his approval ratings indicates that he successfully convinced Israelis of his indispensability as a “security” prime minister as he was urging the president of the United States to back away from the JCPOA.

Read the full article here.

Originally published in The Hill.